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Rosy Forecast for Copper and Natural Gas

  • October 12, 2009

Forecast for Copper 101209The Royal Bank of Scotland predicts that the price of copper will set a new record high, palladium will more than double, and natural gas will see a significant recovery between now and 2013.

RBS states its views in the latest edition of its Commodity Companion research report, which covers the 12 months ending September 2010 and also a longer period running to the second half of 2013.

For the 12-month period, natural gas is expected to be the best performer, with palladium and oil next. For base metals, it’s aluminum in the top slot, followed by copper.

For the longer period, palladium should do best, RBS says. Natural gas, aluminum and copper fill out the top positions.

RBS says it expects prices for these commodities to be driven by inadequate supply response to rising demand as the global economy gets back on track in 2010.

Macquarie Research came out with a similar outlook last week for copper after a major mechanical failure at an Australian mine that will limit production through the first quarter of 2010.

Copper has more than doubled in price since December 2008 to about $2.85 per pound today, and by 2013, RBS sees the metal surpassing its previous record high of just over $4 per pound set in early 2008.

All opinions expressed and data provided are subject to change without notice. Some of these opinions may not be appropriate to every investor.


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