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Searching for Signs of a Recovery

  • July 02, 2009

We received a number of good questions from listeners to my “Searching for Signs of a Recovery” webcast last week, but time ran out before we could get to them.

Romeo Dator, co-manager of the U.S. Global Investors China Region Fund (USCOX), took a few minutes to offer up quick answers to a couple of questions relating to Asia.

What lessons could the United States learn from Asian countries to benefit its own economy?

The primary lesson the U.S. could learn from these countries is to use government policy to promote economic growth and prosperity. Right now, the United States is considering policies aimed at redistributing income and wealth—such an approach reduces incentives needed to grow the overall economy.

In China, by contrast, the government is promoting domestic growth with policies that get people to own housing and cars. This adds to the wealth effect.

When the infrastructure is improved in these Asian markets, will their economies improve by default?

Economic development depends on a reliable network of roads, bridges, airports, power generation, etc., so that goods and services can easily move from one place to another. Having them doesn’t guarantee growth, but without them, economic expansion is constrained.

 Infrastructure’s impact can be seen in real-life examples from the past.

It was infrastructure, along with low wages, that allowed China to become the manufacturer to the world. Mexico, India and other emerging nations don’t have comparable manufacturing infrastructure and thus their economies aren’t as developed.

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